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January 8, 2015


El Niño Report, January 8, 2015


There is approximately a 50-60% chance of an El Niño during January/February 2015, with El Niño neutral conditions favored thereafter.


If El Niño were to emerge, the consensus opinion favors a weak event that would probably end by April or May 2015.


This report is a consolidated effort of the USA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).  Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions).  The next monthly El Niño discussion is scheduled for February 5, 2015.  To receive an email notification when the monthly El Niño discussion is released, send an email message to:


Source: Climate Prediction Center.  El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion.  January 8, 2015.

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