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March 10, 2016


El Niño Report, March 10, 2016


All computer models indicate that El Niño will weaken, with a transition to neutral conditions likely during late spring or early summer 2016, with close to a 50% chance for La Niña conditions to develop by the fall.  Currently, however, the models indicate the continuation of a strong El Niño.


This report is a consolidated effort of the USA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).  Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center website (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions).  The next monthly El Niño discussion is scheduled for April 14, 2016.  To receive an email notification when the monthly El Niño discussion is released, send an email message to


For Background Information on El Niño, see:


Source: Climate Prediction Center.  El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion.  March 10, 2016.

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