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October 9, 2014


El Niño Report, October 9, 2014


Most computer models predict that there is 66% chance that an El Niño will develop in October–December 2014 and continue into early 2015.  If an El Niño does develop, it will likely remain weak throughout its duration.


This report is a consolidated effort of the USA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).  Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions).  The next monthly El Niño discussion is scheduled for November 6, 2014.  To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly El Niño discussion is released, send an e-mail message to:


Source: Climate Prediction Center.  El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion.  October 9, 2014.

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