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October 29, 2015

The World

Dr. Jim Anderson’s Outlook on World Farmed Shrimp Production


At the Global Aquaculture Alliance’s Global Outlook on Aquaculture Leadership (GOAL) conference (Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, October 26–29, 2015), Dr. Jim Anderson—Director of the Institute for Sustainable Food Systems and a Professor in Food and Resource Economics at the University of Florida—presented the results of his annual survey on world farmed shrimp production.


According to his survey, world production of farmed shrimp production fell 2% in 2015, compared to 2014, but the respondents predicted a recovery of 9% by 2017.  With total production around 4.1 million metric tons in 2015, the respondents expected a total output of about 4.5 million tons in 2016 and 4.75 million tons in 2017.  Anderson said this represented a compound growth rate of 7.7% per year from 2013-2017.  Many attendees at the Goal conference, however, felt Anderson’s predictions were overly optimistic because there are significant problems with shrimp diseases around the world.


For example, parasitic Enterocytozoon hepatopenaei (EHP) disease may pose an even greater threat to shrimp farmers than early mortality syndrome (EMS), which has crippled world shrimp farming for the last several years.  In India, where EPH is widespread, production is expected to be flat in 2016.  EPH also decimated China’s shrimp farms, forcing it to import large shrimp from Ecuador because it could not grow them.


In 2016, Ecuador expects to ramp up production, while lowering stocking densities in its ponds.  Its farmers are very vigilant about disease.


Indonesia and Thailand are expected to have healthy increases in production.


Central American production may be impacted by El Nino, which causes drought in the region.


Source: (an online, subscription-based, fisheries news service).  Editor and Publisher, John Sackton (phone 1-781-861-1441, email  GOAL Presents Optimistic Annual Shrimp Outlook.  John Sackton.  October 28, 2015.

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